OT: US Open

[XLCenterFan]

Another major is upon us.Thoughts, insights, and picks are welcome here.

Torrey Pines should be longer and thicker than what we see for the Farmers Insurance Open, and with faster greens. Greens are poa annua, which give most guys the fits.

Will the champion be a bomb and gouge player or one that finds fairways and greens? Top stats of US Open winners are (1)SG: Putting, (2)Driving Accuracy, (3)SG: Total, and (4)SG: T2G.

I don't see any of the top players (odds-wise) winning it this year. One of the worst fields of the season last week and DJ couldn't even top 10. Despite Rahm's history of good performance at the Farmers, he was devastated recently and I don't think has recovered. Brooks' game is all over the place and missed the cut last week. Spieth, despite his resurgence, cannot find fairways consistently, and hasn't shown the ability to close consistently. Rory, and especially JT have been relatively off lately. The one top gun that I may consider is Bryson, but even he has been not too consistent. This being said, perhaps they all top 10, but I doubt it.

I like the next tier of guys: Xander, Morikawa, Hovland, Reed, Finau, Cantlay. For longer shots, I like Louie, Kokrak, and Cameron Smith. For a long, longshot, gimme Patrick Rodgers.

And if you say Phil, you're insane.

 

[Chin Diesel]

I said a few weeks ago that Phil would be way over bet based on the PGA.

I do like the California players- Xander, Morikawa and Cantlay.

 

[UConnKev]

DJ is in play this week.

 

[jleves]

Current odds:

Jon Rahm	9.5/1
Dustin Johnson	13/1
Brooks Koepka	16/1
Bryson DeChambeau	16/1
Xander Schauffele	18/1
Jordan Spieth	19/1
Collin Morikawa	19/1
Justin Thomas	19/1
Rory McIlroy	20/1
Patrick Cantlay	24/1
Viktor Hovland	29/1
Tony Finau	29/1
Shane Lowry	29/1
Patrick Reed	30/1
Hideki Matsuyama	34/1
Will Zalatoris	41/1
Scottie Scheffler	41/1
Daniel Berger	44/1
Tyrell Hatton	46/1
Justin Rose	47/1
Webb Simpson	47/1
Paul Casey	47/1
Louis Oosthuizen	50/1
Cam Smith	55/1
Phil Mickelson	55/1
Tommy Fleetwood	70/1
Abe Ancer	70/1
Joaquin Niemann	70/1
Matthew Fitzpatrick	70/1
Corey Conners	70/1
Jason Kokrak	80/1
Sung-Jae Im	85/1
Marc Leishman	85/1
Adam Scott	90/1
Gary Woodland	90/1
Garrick Higgo	90/1
Harris English	95/1
Brian Harman	110/1
Branden Grace	110/1
Sergio Garcia	110/1
Sam Burns	110/1
Max Homa	110/1
Lee Westwood	120/1
Ryan Palmer	150/1
Bubba Watson	150/1
Charley Hoffman	150/1

 

[storrsroars]

I said a few weeks ago that Phil would be way over bet based on the PGA.

I do like the California players- Xander, Morikawa and Cantlay.

This is probably Phil's last shot at a US Open (which has probably been said every year since 2010). I wouldn't bet him, but also wouldn't be shocked based on his new-found ability to hold it together over 4 days.

I'm gonna go Ancer again. He's proved time and again that one doesn't need to be a bomber to compete on major courses. Plus he was driving >300 yds at the PGA with better than average accuracy. This might not be his tourney, but he's going to win one soon. I also see Zalatoris as a top 5.

And I'm chuckling that Garrett Higgo has better odds than some better known bombers, considering that this time last week nobody knew who the hell Garrett Higgo was.

 

[XLCenterFan]

And I'm chuckling that Garrett Higgo has better odds than some better known bombers, considering that this time last week nobody knew who the hell Garrett Higgo was.

I want to bet him to miss the cut.

 

[Conndog]

I'm visiting in-laws during the Open- they live one town north in Del Mar- and hope to get away one day and find someone with extra ticket, maybe I can see the action

 

[NJHusky]

Sooo..what's the betting play in golf? is the idea to take 5-10 guys and hope someone with high enough odds wins to make it worthwhile?

 

[freescooter]

Can’t give you any justification but I have a hunch that Patrick Reed wins this. And ticks a few people off while doing it.

 

[Conndog]

My in-laws live one town north (Del Mar) and I'll be out there this weekend, maybe I can excuse myself one day and see if I can't score a ticket to watch it

 

[XLCenterFan]

Sooo..what's the betting play in golf? is the idea to take 5-10 guys and hope someone with high enough odds wins to make it worthwhile?

That's a good option, yes. Sprinkle a couple of bucks on a couple of different guys.

 

[XLCenterFan]

My in-laws live one town north (Del Mar) and I'll be out there this weekend, maybe I can excuse myself one day and see if I can't score a ticket to watch it

Absolutely excuse yourself.

 

[LIuconn]

Torrey isn't a thinkers' golf course. See narrow fairway, hit narrow fairway. See green, hit green. Similar to Firestone, Bethpage and Winged Foot.

With rough up I think only a bomber can win - Bryson, DJ, Brooks. Finau to top 10.

I'm between Bryson and DJ with a DJ lean

 

[QDOG5]

I think it is Rahm's time. He was lapping a strong field at the Memorial. I'm somewhat surprised he is the favorite coming in. I thought he'd be top 5 but not the fave. I think he is ready to start winning multiple majors over the next few years.

 

[XLCenterFan]

Torrey isn't a thinkers' golf course. See narrow fairway, hit narrow fairway. See green, hit green. Similar to Firestone, Bethpage and Winged Foot.

With rough up I think only a bomber can win - Bryson, DJ, Brooks. Finau to top 10.

I'm between Bryson and DJ with a DJ lean

Any love for a Champ, Niemann, Kokrak, or Vegas?

 

[LIuconn]

^ dark horse Wilco Nienaber to top 10. Dude makes Bryson look average

 

[uconnfan68]

Another major is upon us.Thoughts, insights, and picks are welcome here.

Torrey Pines should be longer and thicker than what we see for the Farmers Insurance Open, and with faster greens. Greens are poa annua, which give most guys the fits.

Will the champion be a bomb and gouge player or one that finds fairways and greens? Top stats of US Open winners are (1)SG: Putting, (2)Driving Accuracy, (3)SG: Total, and (4)SG: T2G.

I don't see any of the top players (odds-wise) winning it this year. One of the worst fields of the season last week and DJ couldn't even top 10. Despite Rahm's history of good performance at the Farmers, he was devastated recently and I don't think has recovered. Brooks' game is all over the place and missed the cut last week. Spieth, despite his resurgence, cannot find fairways consistently, and hasn't shown the ability to close consistently. Rory, and especially JT have been relatively off lately. The one top gun that I may consider is Bryson, but even he has been not too consistent. This being said, perhaps they all top 10, but I doubt it.

I like the next tier of guys: Xander, Morikawa, Hovland, Reed, Finau, Cantlay. For longer shots, I like Louie, Kokrak, and Cameron Smith. For a long, longshot, gimme Patrick Rodgers.

And if you say Phil, you're insane.

Having played it throughout the years I was stationed in SD, I can guarantee it will be different than the Farmers. It should be fast, hard, and even longer than it plays in winter. The rough can be brutal. I don’t see bomb and gouge as a winning strategy. I favor smooth consistent playing for this one.

 

[jleves]

Usually I think I may have someone I think is playing great with the best chance to win for these. I don't this time.

That said, I wouldn't bet against the favorite. If he was able to get serious practice in, there's no reason to think he's not on his game like he was 2 weeks ago.

I just don't know how much the emotional roller coaster took out of him.

 

[ZooCougar]

I like Rahm.

Oh and it turns out he was vaccinated. So all of you scoldy judgey types can go get f%##d.

 

[ZooCougar]

Torrey isn't a thinkers' golf course. See narrow fairway, hit narrow fairway. See green, hit green. Similar to Firestone, Bethpage and Winged Foot.

With rough up I think only a bomber can win - Bryson, DJ, Brooks. Finau to top 10.

I'm between Bryson and DJ with a DJ lean

Finau doesn’t win tournaments.

I would love to see Higgo win again. He hits ridiculous drives.

 

[ZooCougar]

^ dark horse Wilco Nienaber to top 10. Dude makes Bryson look average

Yeah and he doesn’t drink gallons of protein shakes and need to hyperventilate to do it.

 

[uconnfan68]

I like Rahm.

Oh and it turns out he was vaccinated. So all of you scoldy judgey types can go get f%##d.

Per Yahoo Sports:
"Truth is, I was vaccinated. I just wasn't out of that 14-day period. I had started the process, and unfortunately, that's how timing ended up being," Rahm said.

“Looking back on it, yeah, I guess I wish I would have done it [vaccination] earlier, but thinking on scheduling purposes and having the PGA and defending Memorial, to be honest it wasn't in my mind.

“I'm not going to lie; I was trying to just get ready for a golf tournament. If I had done it a few days earlier, probably we wouldn't be having these conversations right now.”

Careless, and $1.7M poorer, but not as stupid as he first seemed.

 

[Chin Diesel]

Sirius XM had a nice interview this morning with James Hervol from UConn. It was on the The New Breed of Golf show. Full segment mentioned UConn several times.

Focused on what it was like to be a first time US Open player, what type of preparation he has done at Torrey Pines and how he is trying to get his tour card.

Hervol said the COVID break was good for him because he knew he had some changes he needed to make with his swing and the stoppage of play gave him time to work on swing without worrying about short term drops in tournament results.

 

[ZooCougar]

Per Yahoo Sports:
"Truth is, I was vaccinated. I just wasn't out of that 14-day period. I had started the process, and unfortunately, that's how timing ended up being," Rahm said.

“Looking back on it, yeah, I guess I wish I would have done it [vaccination] earlier, but thinking on scheduling purposes and having the PGA and defending Memorial, to be honest it wasn't in my mind.

“I'm not going to lie; I was trying to just get ready for a golf tournament. If I had done it a few days earlier, probably we wouldn't be having these conversations right now.”

Careless, and $1.7M poorer, but not as stupid as he first seemed.

Careless? You lame scold. He had the vaccine. Now shut up and go drink Metamucil.

 

[ZooCougar]

Sirius XM had a nice interview this morning with James Hervol from UConn. It was on the The New Breed of Golf show. Full segment mentioned UConn several times.

Focused on what it was like to be a first time US Open player, what type of preparation he has done at Torrey Pines and how he is trying to get his tour card.

Hervol said the COVID break was good for him because he knew he had some changes he needed to make with his swing and the stoppage of play gave him time to work on swing without worrying about short term drops in tournament results.

I heard that interview too.