Men Wins Needed for a 2024 At Large bid

[huskymedic]

 

[businesslawyer]

Got through a week with no upside without hurting ourselves, and kept us two games up in the loss column for a conference championship. Four days off and then a Seton Hall club comparable to ‘Nova, but at least playing on the road won’t be such huge RPI killers.

 

[huskymedic]

Of note:

 

[businesslawyer]

Of note:

View attachment 100245

This is interesting because in hoops, of course, they all swear that conference records and standings are totally irrelevant -- it's about total schedule treating all games equally. Now, baseball doesn't have to award at large bids on the same criteria as hoops, but the less visiability into what the criteria, is, the more room for favoritism.

 

[freescooter]

This is interesting because in hoops, of course, they all swear that conference records and standings are totally irrelevant -- it's about total schedule treating all games equally. Now, baseball doesn't have to award at large bids on the same criteria as hoops, but the less visiability into what the criteria, is, the more room for favoritism.

But that is a little misleading relative to conferences. In basketball pretty much everyone plays 20 league games which is 2/3 of your schedule. And since leagues are somewhat hierarchical, eg the ACC is better than the A-10, the league record is fairly important, especially for the high mid-majors. Kind of the same thing here but in this case we are in a baseball equivalent of the basketball A-10. In a league where there is at best 1 at-large, it is going to the best team in the league.

 

[billybud]

When the Top 25 includes 9 SEC teams (counting Oklahoma) and the ACC 7…. Conference does play in. IMHO

 

[huskymedic]

New week - new projections:

2024 NCAA Baseball Tournament Bracket: Projected Field Of 64 (May 1) — College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects - Baseball America

Ted Cahill's latest projected 2024 NCAA Baseball Tournament Bracket features four changes on the host line this week.

www.baseballamerica.com

Fayetteville, Ark.

1. (2) Arkansas^

2. UConn*

3. Louisiana Tech*

4. Arkansas-Little Rock*

 

[huskymedic]

New week - new projections:

2024 NCAA Baseball Tournament Bracket: Projected Field Of 64 (May 1) — College Baseball, MLB Draft, Prospects - Baseball America

Ted Cahill's latest projected 2024 NCAA Baseball Tournament Bracket features four changes on the host line this week.

www.baseballamerica.com

Fayetteville, Ark.

1. (2) Arkansas^

2. UConn*

3. Louisiana Tech*

4. Arkansas-Little Rock*

2024 D1Baseball Field of 64 Projections: May 1 • D1Baseball

The latest D1Baseball Field of 64 projections are out with one new top eight seed, while there are two brand new hosts this week.

d1baseball.com

 

[Rdkid]

That the Huskies are getting 2-seed cred from national publications is a huge sign of respect. The club is gelling and the talent is there, but the resume? That being said, I do think past performance is indicative of future results - versus other programs who shrink in the postseason. I think we will club SH this weekend. Maybe not sweep, but score a bunch of runs. 17-4 in the league.

 

[huskymedic]

 

[Omahabound]

2024 D1Baseball Field of 64 Projections: May 1 • D1Baseball

The latest D1Baseball Field of 64 projections are out with one new top eight seed, while there are two brand new hosts this week.

d1baseball.com

View attachment 100331

Another brutal bracket projection. I think I’d prefer the Arkansas projection and hope for some help with regards to Arkansas. Tough task either way.

 

[Jimdish255]

Just noticed the next team we play is a one off return matchup against a tough Northeastern squad with some nice wins. That comes immediately after a 3 game road trip for both squads. Should be an interesting matchup with both teams looking for a post season opportunity. Things come at you fast.

 

[ucjoet]

This team may not be one of the best UConn teams in recent memory, but man are they resilient. Have to love their toughness.

Chart all green. Let’s keep rolling.

Go Huskies!!!

Post season Criteria
(1) 26 - 18/ .591.... 34 - 24 / .586
(2) 6 - 0 / 1.000….. 12 - 4 / .750
(3) 42.... < 49Team RPI
(4) 7th........ < 8 Conf RPI
(5) 1st ........ Top 2 Big East

 

[huskymedic]

 

[Omahabound]

This team may not be one of the best UConn teams in recent memory, but man are they resilient. Have to love their toughness.

Chart all green. Let’s keep rolling.

Go Huskies!!!

Post season Criteria
(1) 26 - 18/ .591.... 34 - 24 / .586
(2) 6 - 0 / 1.000….. 12 - 4 / .750
(3) 42.... < 49Team RPI
(4) 7th........ < 8 Conf RPI
(5) 1st ........ Top 2 Big East

…and now if they can win the remaining 2 series plus at least a split in the non conference games, they’ll have recovered. Will that guarantee an at-large? Again, idk how given what’s left. Series sweeps or sweep the non conference. I hate to have to rely on a 4 team tournament, especially this season.

 

[Omahabound]

8-0 the rest of the season. I think that may do it and if they go on to win the BE Tournament it’ll be more about seeding, hopefully. Win out and perhaps a good regional draw awaits.

 

[huskymedic]

 

[Omahabound]

I’m rooting for St. John’s. They played some really tough true road series/games ( Fla. Houston, Texas, Sam Hou St. ) and got a few wins along the way. They should be rewarded for that and those wins should carry more weight. It appears that’s the case.

 

[ucjoet]

We have now won 17 of last 20 games, and chart is all green. The next 5 games are vs teams with good RPI (39,57 and 70). I believe we need to get a minimum of 3 wins to keep our At Large bid alive.

I don’t think many of us would have predicted we would be in this position 20 games ago. Need to give the team and coaching staff a lot of credit. Let’s keep winning.

Go Huskies!!!

Post season Criteria
(1) 27 - 19/ .587.... 34 - 24 / .586
(2) 7 - 1 / .875….. 12 - 4 / .750
(3) 46.... < 49Team RPI
(4) 7th........ < 8 Conf RPI
(5) 1st ........ Top 2 Big East

 

[Omahabound]

We have now won 17 of last 20 games, and chart is all green. The next 5 games are vs teams with good RPI (39,57 and 70). I believe we need to get a minimum of 3 wins to keep our At Large bid alive.

I don’t think many of us would have predicted we would be in this position 20 games ago. Need to give the team and coaching staff a lot of credit. Let’s keep winning.

Go Huskies!!!


Post season Criteria
(1) 27 - 19/ .587.... 34 - 24 / .586
(2) 7 - 1 / .875….. 12 - 4 / .750
(3) 46.... < 49Team RPI
(4) 7th........ < 8 Conf RPI
(5) 1st ........ Top 2 Big East

I agree to an extent. Creighton’s struggling and when it truly matters come Selection Monday, anything short of a Creighton sweep at home will be a losing battle. If they can get both NE/Cincy to offset that, then maybe. The Butler series has to be a formality and no baseball game is that. Tough spot to be in. Otherwise, 27 wins and not a whole lot of weight carrying wins to show. I’m just being realistic and trying to temper expectations. An at-large is within distance but I don’t believe it’s nearly a few wins away. If not 8-0 then 7-1 the rest of the way. With the remaining schedule that has to be the goal.

 

[ucjoet]

I don’t necessarily disagree with your points, and value your analysis. Going 8-0, or 7-1 would be optimal. But if we go 5-3 rest of regular season and end up in BE tournament championship game, that would get us to 34 wins. I believe the Big East has a very good chance of getting two teams in. If that is true, we should be one of those 2 teams.

We still have much work to do. These next 5 games will be very interesting. We have been on a roll, that needs to continue for a few more weeks.

Go Huskies!!!

 

[dbmill]

I don’t necessarily disagree with your points, and value your analysis. Going 8-0, or 7-1 would be optimal. But if we go 5-3 rest of regular season and end up in BE tournament championship game, that would get us to 34 wins. I believe the Big East has a very good chance of getting two teams in. If that is true, we should be one of those 2 teams.

We still have much work to do. These next 5 games will be very interesting. We have been on a roll, that needs to continue for a few more weeks.

Go Huskies!!!

It's tough to manage 3 game sweeps in baseball in general. As long as UConn keeps winning more than they lose they should be in pretty good shape for the post session. Also helping out in a potential at large bid is the way UConn has been dominating Big East conference series, and having taken the St. John's series. Also helps that the Big East has improved itself in baseball this season.

 

[huskymedic]

-> Who Helped Their Case:
… St. John’s: The Johnnies had about as good of a weekend as you can have as a bubble team for the NCAA tournament. They hosted another previous bubble team in Creighton, and did a clean sweep of the Bluejays, moving up 13 spots to 43. An RPI in the 40s is still somewhat problematic for a Big East team, but the Johnnies should be in as of today.

Who Hurt Their Case:​

… Creighton: The Bluejays were swept on the road by St. John’s this past weekend, and with that, they are going to have serious trouble even qualifying for the Big East tournament, which only has four teams in it. For now, the Jays are well behind fourth place Xavier. From an RPI standpoint, Creighton is sitting at 60, which is a five spot drop from last week. <-

 

[ucjoet]

Not much to say about today’s game. Need to rebound this weekend.

Post season Criteria
(1) 27 - 20/ .574.... 34 - 24 / .586
(2) 7 - 2 / .778….. 12 - 4 / .750
(3) 44... < 49Team RPI
(4) 7th........ < 8 Conf RPI
(5) 1st ........ Top 2 Big East

 

[Viet Vet]

4-5 versus New England teams (BC, URI, UMass, Bryant, Central CT, Northeastern) will not inspire the committee to grant us an at-large bid. Northeastern will earn one before us. Win the BE tourney, or stay home………deservedly.