The reason why the ACC won’t invite us now is because they already have members unhappy with their payouts. Adding UConn to dilute that further (doubtful ESPN kicks in more if it’s not in the current contract).
With that said, even knowing as a fan that the ACC has a death date in 2036, that would be my preference if we left the Big East.
But my brain also tells me the Big 12 is the “safer” lifeboat. Because when the ACC implodes, about 8 teams will be looking for a home w/ a big TV contract (probably Big 12). I don’t want to have to compete with Louisville, Syracuse, Pitt, etc. for those limited spots… I want us to have a seat at the table.
Possibly true, but the ACC leftovers would be a legitimate east coast all sports conference. The B12 leftovers are CUSA or the old Southwest conference.
If the landscape changes to the extent the P5 becomes the P3 or P2, i don't think the ACC is any more vulnerable than the B12.
The most likely outcome is the SEC and B1G picking up the biggest names and the P12 inviting the best of the rest from the B12. That would leave UConn with TCU, UCF, Cincy, etc.
The ACC would likely be the mostly the old BE plus tobacco road minus UNC.
Which is stronger in that case? Doesn't really matter. UConn is going wherever they can get paid and deal with whatever happens later. I just wouldn't say the B12 is better. It's more likely to be available as an option.