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Men Wins needed for 2022 NCAA At Large Bid

CL82

NCAA Men’s Basketball National Champions - Again!
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This week’s Baseball America projection brings UConn to the Knoxville Regional as the #2 seed:

Knoxville, Tenn.
1. (1) Tennessee*^
2. Connecticut*
3. Wake Forest
4. Army*
I don’t know how I feel about this. I like the recognition of being a two seed, but I really want to avoid Tennessee’s bracket, for obvious reasons.
 
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I don’t know how I feel about this. I like the recognition of being a two seed, but I really want to avoid Tennessee’s bracket, for obvious reasons.
Totally agree. I guess they are saying we are one the lowest seeded 2’s. Which I sort of get because of RPI. I know I am biased, but I feel that we should be at minimum in the middle of pack for 2 seeds. Hopefully they go more by eye test, then RPI when we get seeded
 
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No change this week in D1Baseball’s Field of 64 projections for UConn but NC State has been flipped out for Georgia Tech:

KNOXVILLE
1 Tennessee* (1)
4 Coppin State*
2 Georgia Tech
3 Connecticut*

This week’s D1Baseball projection brings UConn to the Charlottesville Regional as the #2 seed:

CHARLOTTESVILLE
1 Virginia (13)
4 Davidson*
2 Connecticut*
3 East Carolina*
 
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Nice win yesterday to stop our 2 game losing streak. Gallagher with a bounce back outing to get us back on track. Hoping to continue our streak of winning weekend series. Also a 2-2 week sounds so much better then 1-3.

Go Huskies !!!
current record........... season goal
16- 5 / .762% ........ 11 - 10 / .524% - Out of Conference
10 - 3 / .769 ......... 11 - 3 / .785 - New England
15 - 2 / .882 ......... 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 3 - 2 / .600 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 41 - 10 / .804 ...... 40 - 21 / .655
(2) 42 ....... < 50 RPI
(3) 1st ........ Top 2 Big East


Something More Aggressive
current record ......................season goal
(1) 41 - 10 / .816 ...... 46 - 14 / .766
(2) 42 ....... < 30 RPI
(3) 13 ........ < 20 poll
 
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If we are looking to escape the bracket, would it not benefit us more than to settle right where we are rpi wise, maybe even a little lower?

It seems all hope of a 2 seed is gone, and even if we were able to grab one we would face the best of the ones, along with if we were a high 3.
 
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I think we probably saved an at-large bid today. Had we lost this series, I suspect it would have required us to win the New Big East Tournament to get a bid. While that is still likely, I wouldn’t want to have to do that!
 
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We salvaged the week by winning on Saturday and Sunday to go 2-2 for week. Also clinched the Big East number 1 seed. If we win tomorrow we will be ALL GREEN for our original goals.

Go Huskies !!!

current record........... season goal
16- 5 / .762% ........ 11 - 10 / .524% - Out of Conference
10 - 3 / .769 ......... 11 - 3 / .785 - New England
16 - 2 / .889 ......... 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East regular season
0 - 0 / .000 ......... 3 - 2 / .600 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 42 - 10 / .808 ...... 40 - 21 / .655
(2) 43 ....... < 50 RPI
(3) 1st ........ Top 2 Big East


Something More Aggressive
current record ......................season goal

(1) 42 - 10 / .808 ...... 46 - 14 / .766
(2) 42 ....... < 30 RPI
(3) 13 ........ < 20 poll
 
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After 2 sub par hitting performances, our bats have come to life the last 3 games. We have reached or surpassed our 3 regular season goals below, with 3 games to go. Would like to finish the year strong to solidify a Number 2 seed, with an outside possibility of hosting a regional. The only thing holding us back is our RPI.

It has been a great season so far. Really enjoy following this team.

Go Huskies !!!


current record........... season goal
16- 5 / .762% ........ 11 - 10 / .524% - Out of Conference
11 - 3 / .785 ......... 11 - 3 / .785 - New England
16 - 2 / .889 ......... 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East regular season

0 - 0 / .000 ......... 3 - 2 / .600 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 43 - 10 / .811 ...... 40 - 21 / .655
(2) 43 ....... < 50 RPI
(3) 1st ........ Top 2 Big East



Something More Aggressive
current record ......................season goal

(1) 43 - 10 / .811 ...... 46 - 14 / .766
(2) 43 ....... < 30 RPI
(3) 13 ........ < 20 poll
 
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This week’s Baseball America projection brings UConn to the Knoxville Regional as the #2 seed:

Knoxville, Tenn.
1. (1) Tennessee*^
2. Connecticut*
3. Wake Forest
4. Army*

This week’s Baseball America projection has UConn as the #2 seed in the Nashville Regional:

Nashville
1. (10) Vanderbilt^
2. Connecticut*
3. UCLA
4. Southern Illinois*
 
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This week’s D1Baseball projection brings UConn to the Charlottesville Regional as the #2 seed:

CHARLOTTESVILLE
1 Virginia (13)
4 Davidson*
2 Connecticut*
3 East Carolina*

This week’s D1Baseball projection brings UConn to the Knoxville Regional as the #2 seed:

KNOXVILLE
1 Tennessee* (1)
4 Delaware State*
2 Connecticut*
3 Clemson
 
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-> There are 31 automatic bids awarded to conference champions. These 12 are safe bets to be one-bid leagues, regardless of how their conference tournaments shake out. The MAC moves into this category this week, as Ball State’s 11-spot drop in the RPI effectively dashed its already slim hopes for an at-large spot. We’re also moving the Big West into this category, since UC Santa Barbara has the regular-season title all-but sewn up and there is no conference tournament, and no other Big West team is inside the top 100 of the RPI.

Sure-fire one-bid leagues: America East, Big West, Horizon, MAAC, MEAC, Mid-American, Mountain West, Northeast, Patriot, Southland, Summit, SWAC

The following nine conferences are likely to be one-bid leagues, but each has at least one team with at least a shot at an at-large bid, though the poor RPIs of the rest of their conferencemates figure to drag some of them down below at-large range as the season continues. In some of these leagues, there is one sure-fire at-large team that would take an at-large bid if it fails to win its conference tournament, making its conference a two-bid league.

Likely one-bid leagues (potential at-large teams in parentheses):

American Athletic (East Carolina)
Atlantic 10 (Davidson)
Big East (Connecticut)
Big South (Campbell)
Colonial (College of Charleston)
Ivy (Pennsylvania)
Missouri Valley (Dallas Baptist)
Ohio Valley (Belmont, Southeast Missouri)
WAC (Grand Canyon)

Out of this group of teams, Dallas Baptist (No. 8 RPI), East Carolina (No. 29), Connecticut (No. 43) and Grand Canyon (No. 42) look like strong bets for at-large bids. DBU’s RPI makes it a lock, as does ECU’s combination of RPI and regular-season conference title (already clinched). UConn and Grand Canyon have dominated their leagues and also performed well out of conference, earning them some leeway despite bubblish RPIs. <-
 
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-> There are 31 automatic bids awarded to conference champions. These 12 are safe bets to be one-bid leagues, regardless of how their conference tournaments shake out. The MAC moves into this category this week, as Ball State’s 11-spot drop in the RPI effectively dashed its already slim hopes for an at-large spot. We’re also moving the Big West into this category, since UC Santa Barbara has the regular-season title all-but sewn up and there is no conference tournament, and no other Big West team is inside the top 100 of the RPI.

Sure-fire one-bid leagues: America East, Big West, Horizon, MAAC, MEAC, Mid-American, Mountain West, Northeast, Patriot, Southland, Summit, SWAC

The following nine conferences are likely to be one-bid leagues, but each has at least one team with at least a shot at an at-large bid, though the poor RPIs of the rest of their conferencemates figure to drag some of them down below at-large range as the season continues. In some of these leagues, there is one sure-fire at-large team that would take an at-large bid if it fails to win its conference tournament, making its conference a two-bid league.

Likely one-bid leagues (potential at-large teams in parentheses):

American Athletic (East Carolina)
Atlantic 10 (Davidson)
Big East (Connecticut)
Big South (Campbell)
Colonial (College of Charleston)
Ivy (Pennsylvania)
Missouri Valley (Dallas Baptist)
Ohio Valley (Belmont, Southeast Missouri)
WAC (Grand Canyon)

Out of this group of teams, Dallas Baptist (No. 8 RPI), East Carolina (No. 29), Connecticut (No. 43) and Grand Canyon (No. 42) look like strong bets for at-large bids. DBU’s RPI makes it a lock, as does ECU’s combination of RPI and regular-season conference title (already clinched). UConn and Grand Canyon have dominated their leagues and also performed well out of conference, earning them some leeway despite bubblish RPIs. <-

This seems to be a pretty reasonable analysis for at large bids, especially UConn's position. UConn should be in fine shape unless they go off and lose the Georgetown series and then has problems in the Big East Tourney. But continuing to win certainly takes care of perceived possible trouble spots.
 
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Its amazing how close we are bunched in the RPI right now. 4 points separating 4 spots. Even this late in the season, a game could move us up or 20 down points while an opponents win or loss could 4 points. Technically, we could get into the 30's tonight with a win and some other help. A 30-something would look so much better. At the end of the day, all we can do is keep winning. Worth noting that a sweep projects us to a 36 RPI.

1652977204502.png
 

shizzle787

King Shizzle DCCLXXXVII of the Cesspool
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Have to sweep this series. I still believe there is an outside chance we get to host a regional if we win out.
 
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So we lose our first weekend series of the year. If someone told me we would only lose 1 weekend I would have immediately signed up for it. But was hoping to finish season with another series win. Would not go as far as calling today a must win, but it I think it is a very important game to get our mojo back. Don't want to go into BE tourney on a 3 game losing streak.

This has been a fun team to follow, and I am confident we will turn this around today.

Go Huskies !!!

current record........... season goal
16- 5 / .762% ........ 11 - 10 / .524% - Out of Conference
11 - 3 / .785 ......... 11 - 3 / .785 - New England
16 - 4 / .800 ......... 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East regular season

0 - 0 / .000 ......... 3 - 2 / .600 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 43 - 12 / .782 ...... 40 - 21 / .655
(2) 45 ....... < 50 RPI
(3) 1st ........ Top 2 Big East


Something More Aggressive
current record ......................season goal
(1) 43 - 12 / .782 ...... 46 - 14 / .766
(2) 45 ....... < 30 RPI
(3) 13 ........ < 20 poll
 
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So we lose our first weekend series of the year. If someone told me we would only lose 1 weekend I would have immediately signed up for it. But was hoping to finish season with another series win. Would not go as far as calling today a must win, but it I think it is a very important game to get our mojo back. Don't want to go into BE tourney on a 3 game losing streak.

Totally agree with this assessment.
 
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Obviously we did not end the regular season on a high note. Getting swept by Georgetown and losing 5 of last 8 games. But overall we had a great regular season. We are number #1 seed in BE tourney, been ranked in top 25 for most of the year and tied our regular season record of 43 wins. Also we are all GREEN for our original goals below. But with that said , I am a bit anxious about an At Large bid we we go 0-2 in tourney. Would love to win BE, not only for automatic bid but also to get a bit of momentum into NCAA.

Hoping we get revenge on Georgetown on Thursday, and go on to win BE.

Go Huskies !!!

current record........... season goal
16- 5 / .762% ........ 11 - 10 / .524% - Out of Conference
11 - 3 / .785 ......... 11 - 3 / .785 - New England
16 - 5 / .762 ......... 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East regular season

0 - 0 / .000 ......... 3 - 2 / .600 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 43 - 13 / .768 ...... 40 - 21 / .655
(2) 49 ....... < 50 RPI
(3) 1st ........ Top 2 Big East


Something More Aggressive
current record ......................season goal

(1) 43 - 13 / .768 ...... 46 - 14 / .766
(2) 49 ....... < 30 RPI
(3) 13 ........ < 20 poll
 

shizzle787

King Shizzle DCCLXXXVII of the Cesspool
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Obviously we did not end the regular season on a high note. Getting swept by Georgetown and losing 5 of last 8 games. But overall we had a great regular season. We are number #1 seed in BE tourney, been ranked in top 25 for most of the year and tied our regular season record of 43 wins. Also we are all GREEN for our original goals below. But with that said , I am a bit anxious about an At Large bid we we go 0-2 in tourney. Would love to win BE, not only for automatic bid but also to get a bit of momentum into NCAA.

Hoping we get revenge on Georgetown on Thursday, and go on to win BE.

Go Huskies !!!


current record........... season goal
16- 5 / .762% ........ 11 - 10 / .524% - Out of Conference
11 - 3 / .785 ......... 11 - 3 / .785 - New England
16 - 5 / .762 ......... 15 - 6 / .714 - Big East regular season

0 - 0 / .000 ......... 3 - 2 / .600 - Big East tourney

Post season Criteria
(1) 43 - 13 / .768 ...... 40 - 21 / .655
(2) 49 ....... < 50 RPI
(3) 1st ........ Top 2 Big East


Something More Aggressive
current record ......................season goal

(1) 43 - 13 / .768 ...... 46 - 14 / .766
(2) 49 ....... < 30 RPI
(3) 13 ........ < 20 poll
Need to go 3-0 this week. Hosting is probably not feasible but we at least want to be a 2 seed.
 
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This week’s D1Baseball projection brings UConn to the Knoxville Regional as the #2 seed:

KNOXVILLE
1 Tennessee* (1)
4 Delaware State*
2 Connecticut*
3 Clemson

This week’s D1 Baseball projection (day or so early) brings UConn to the Coral Gables Regional:

CORAL GABLES
1 Miami (5)
4 Florida A&M*
2 Florida
3 Connecticut*

“Connecticut, Campbell, College of Charleston, Davidson, and Belmont would all have chances at at-large bids also, but with RPIs in the 50s or 60s, we don’t love their chances.”

UConn current RPI #49
Xavier current RPI #63
Creighton current RPI #92
Georgetown current RPI #125
 

CL82

NCAA Men’s Basketball National Champions - Again!
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This week’s D1 Baseball projection (day or so early) brings UConn to the Coral Gables Regional:

CORAL GABLES
1 Miami (5)
4 Florida A&M*
2 Florida
3 Connecticut*

“Connecticut, Campbell, College of Charleston, Davidson, and Belmont would all have chances at at-large bids also, but with RPIs in the 50s or 60s, we don’t love their chances.”

UConn current RPI #49
Xavier current RPI #63
Creighton current RPI #92
Georgetown current RPI #125
I’ll take it
 
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This week’s Baseball America projection has UConn as the #2 seed in the Nashville Regional:

Nashville
1. (10) Vanderbilt^
2. Connecticut*
3. UCLA
4. Southern Illinois*

This week’s Baseball America Field of 64 projection also has UConn headed to the Coral Gables Regional as the 3 seed:

Coral Gables, Fla.
1. (5) Miami^
2. Florida
3. Connecticut*
4. Long Island*
 

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