I was about to make a similar statement, that with UConn being projected as a regional 2 seed, that it would seem that they are still in the running for an at large bid. Of course, a later projection had them as a regional 3 seed, but still apparently ahead of St. John's since St. John's is listed as one of the last 4 teams getting into the NCAA Tourney.
Probably helping UConn is that the Big East this year his risen to around 7 in conference RPI, and that UConn is currently in 1st place in the Big East standings. Also helps that UConn has not lost a Big East series this season, something that the Huskies need to keep doing.
Also helps that St. John's is currently projected as a regional 3 seed, one of the teams UConn has taken a series from this season in the Big East schedule.
Well, we'll have to see what happens during the last 7 regular season games for UConn, plus how they perform in the Big East Tournament.