Watching the game be played in Barclays Arena was weird, bordering on uncomfortably dark. Darker than MSG, where stage lighting is also utilized, but MSG seems brighter. I wonder if the darkness affected depth perception, similar to past Final Fours since they started playing in Football stadiums. The slope of the seating behind the baskets is gradual and deep compared to a proper basketball arena.I am hoping we shoot better from the three as well. I hope we got out bad shooting game behind us.
West to East sucks.apparently they flew from spokane to san diego late last night, then obviously have to fly from san diego to boston in the next day or two.
i know that people overblow the travel angle of postseason sports all the time, especially now that everyone charters flights, but that is quite a bit of flying for three days, and the west coast-to-east coast flight is particularly notorious.
I'm 61 and just did twenty hours total in the air - two 10-hour flights broken up with a 24 hour layover. It took me about 4 days to recover. I'm sure that these 20 year olds can handle itapparently they flew from spokane to san diego late last night, then obviously have to fly from san diego to boston in the next day or two.
i know that people overblow the travel angle of postseason sports all the time, especially now that everyone charters flights, but that is quite a bit of flying for three days, and the west coast-to-east coast flight is particularly notorious.
I really think they do. They are young adults, kids even, they won't be bothered especially if they come a few days in advance. I don't think the body even feels anything, regarding time zone difference 3 hours and under.i know that people overblow the travel angle of postseason sports all the time, especially now that everyone charters flights, but that is quite a bit of flying for three days, and the west coast-to-east coast flight is particularly notorious.
Plus the game tips 4:30 their time. We have a huge advantage Thursday before even considering how our team matches up or the fan split.apparently they flew from spokane to san diego late last night, then obviously have to fly from san diego to boston in the next day or two.
i know that people overblow the travel angle of postseason sports all the time, especially now that everyone charters flights, but that is quite a bit of flying for three days, and the west coast-to-east coast flight is particularly notorious.
The last two games had spreads pushed several points past the analytical expected margin and we covered easily (The second one almost got back doored, but that took a monumental ineptness from three from us).I think -11 is too high.
Like I've said before, the tail of our distribution is extremely long -- we can win any game by 30. The oddsmakers are accounting for that by shifting our point spread higher, but that's not the best way to account for that.
My other theory is that they are desperate to get money on our opponents because they're over-leveraged on us. We're currently -250 to win the East, which is insane.
There's a very good chance we cover -11. I guess my point is that I think we uniquely have a higher "mean point differential" than our "median point differential" and that these spreads are actually reflecting the mean (i.e. the fact that we can win huge) when they're supposed to be representing the median (equal probability on both sides).The last two games had spreads pushed several points past the analytical expected margin and we covered easily (The second one almost got back doored, but that took a monumental ineptness from three from us).
We're a 33 adjEM team now in KenPom but we've been playing like a 37 adjEM team for a while.
Also I think we were suffering from sticky balls. Hopefully our balls are more slippery in Boston.Watching the game be played in Barclays Arena was weird, bordering on uncomfortably dark. Darker than MSG, where stage lighting is also utilized, but MSG seems brighter. I wonder if the darkness affected depth perception, similar to past Final Fours since they started playing in Football stadiums. The slope of the seating behind the baskets is gradual and deep compared to a proper basketball arena.
It will be nice to see UConn play in a more conventional arena next week.
Duke didn't have a problem with those balls.Also I think we were suffering from sticky balls. Hopefully our balls are more slippery in Boston.
Perhaps Duke members played with their sticky balls longer than most to get used to them.Duke didn't have a problem with those balls.
I think -11 is too high.
Like I've said before, the tail of our distribution is extremely long -- we can win any game by 30. The oddsmakers are accounting for that by shifting our point spread higher, but that's not the best way to account for that.
My other theory is that they are desperate to get money on our opponents because they're over-leveraged on us. We're currently -250 to win the East, which is insane.
I think our difference of opinion is that I think the median is moving higher too. It's not like we're covering 50% of the time, but when we cover, covering by a lot. We're 65% for the season ATS, and similar splits in conference play. And our adjEM has gone from like 27 to 33, so the expected lines have increased but we're still 4-1 ATS last 5. We haven't hit our true equilibrium after we went up another gear with Clingan and Castle fully healthy and integrated.There's a very good chance we cover -11. I guess my point is that I think we uniquely have a higher "mean point differential" than our "median point differential" and that these spreads are actually reflecting the mean (i.e. the fact that we can win huge) when they're supposed to be representing the median (equal probability on both sides).
Not touching that one (Though I might have just then).Also I think we were suffering from sticky balls. Hopefully our balls are more slippery in Boston.
You can watch it on TikTokPerhaps Duke members played with their sticky balls longer than most to get used to them.