Live by the sword, die by the sword.
I'm hoping we can live through the end of March.
But we're living by the "can't hold a lead" and the "play to the level of the opponent" and the "win with last second heroics" sword, and we can die by that very easily.
I love this team. I really do. Loved the 11 team. Haven't loved teams as much as the 11 and 14 teams since, probably, 99. Not sure what it is, but they're really easy to root for and a blast to watch.
But gotta keep it real. Keep it real. Which means try to see it from an outside perspective.
The only top 25 team we've beaten is Florida. We beat them by 1. At home. With them missing key players. And we needed a 4 point play on a questionable foul call to do it. And a last 4/10ths of a second shot to win it.
Point is, if you're on the outside looking in, what we are is a 10 win team that needed the stars to align to beat number 16 at home and that doesn't have a compelling win outside of that.
In other words, outside of Florida, we have been feasting on cupcake island. We almost choked on two of the cupcakes.
Fact is, we only have 2 ranked teams left on our schedule. How we do against LVille and Memphis will provide a huge amount of info. How we do against UCF and Rutgers, not much so.
Remember - his list was "top title contenders." Not "top 10."
Do we really, RIGHT NOW, look like a team that can win the title?
Obviously, I'd love that. More than 11 even. But, realistically, we've done nothing on the court to suggest we have the talent to win it all, and, on paper, we sure don't look like we have what it takes.
Our center position, for example, is good for about 6 points, 4 boards, 14 fouls, 3 turnovers, and 2 blocks a game. Against the one top-25 team, the centers rained in 5 points and jerked down 2 boards in 40 minutes.
Do those sound like title numbers to you?
In 11, while we had losses, we had the components to make a run - great point, very serviceable big man, excellent back up point, great defenders all around, excellent rebounding 4 (miss you Scoe), veteran leader (Bev!). Point is, we looked VERY good on paper, even if we had 9 or 10 losses.
Bilas is a smart guy. He watches more College BBall than you, probably. No sense getting all silly about his opinion. Fact is, we haven't done a thing to suggest we're a contender, our 10 rank seems a bit generous to me, and our paper credentials - especially up front - are weak.
So him saying that we're not a top 12 or 14 title contender seems, to me, very reasonable. Our chance to change his mind (not prove him wrong) will come on January 16th and January 18th, when we have back to back games against the only two ranked opponents left for us.
No later than January 19th we'll know whether Jay was right minded or quite blinded.