Top 25 Next Week

[jleves]

Thanks to #21 UMass going 0-2 against unranked teams, we're just about a lock for the top 25.

It will be interesting to see what happens to Wisconsin and Ohio St.

#14 Wisconsin lost to Northwestern and 24th Ohio State both at home. That really should be enough for them to fall out having lost 5 out of their last 6 after winning their first 16, but they could land at 24 or 25. My bet is they fall out of the top 25. No matter, UConn jumps them (that's 24).

#24 Ohio St lost to Penn State at home and then beat the free falling Badgers. Depending on what some of the teams just outside the top 25 did, they should also fall out. UConn should jump them too (that's 23).

#22 Memphis beats UCF and loses @ SMU. They fall to 24 or 25 and UConn should jump them (that's 22).

#17 Duke won @ Pitt and lost by 1 in OT @ Syracuse. They could move up. UConn will not jump them.

#16 Iowa St lost @ #6 Kansas and beat Oklahoma. They won't move much and UConn will not jump them.

#18 Pitt lost at home to Duke and play tomorrow at home vs. Virginia. If they win, they'll drop to 21ish. If they lose, they could fall out and we move up (that's 21).

So we should be #21 or more likely #22 on Monday. Makes for a good top 25 matchup with some hype vs Cincy.

 

[huskiesnyc]

#25 Oklahoma lost today

 

[jleves]

#25 Oklahoma lost today

Not sure how I missed that. They are 23 in the poll that matters.

#23 Oklahoma beat Oklahoma St and lost @ #16 Iowa St. We should jump them (that's 21, or 20 if Pitt loses).

OK we should be #20 or #21 on Monday.

That first Houston game still pisses me off - we would be in the 20's now and looking at the teens if we don't drop that game.

 

[Jerry1714]

You are not counting the teams that will jump us. Both UCLA and UVA will with 2-0 weeks.

They would have both gone 2-0 on the road, each with 1 over a tourney/ranked team.

Wisky stays ranked and not sure how we jump OK since they beat ok state, that loss won't hurt them.

We beat Houston, at home, we are not going to get a ton of credit for that, nor should we.

 

[BoatShow]

I loved our chances going into today with No. 24 tOSU and No. 25 Texas both having tough matchups today but both won. We will not be ranked going into Cincy's game but when we beat them as an unranked team on the road it will hurt them even more.

 

[tcf15]

Not that this has any implications on our rankings, but Arizona and California tied with 4 1/2 minutes left. Couldn't find a live broadcast anywhere, but it's on first row sports.

 

[jleves]

I loved our chances going into today with No. 24 tOSU and No. 25 Texas both having tough matchups today but both won. We will not be ranked going into Cincy's game but when we beat them as an unranked team on the road it will hurt them even more.

Wanna bet we won't be ranked in the top 25? I'm happy to put up $100 to some UConn charity to be named by they winner of the bet.

 

[tcf15]

And Syracuse will be the new #1 on Monday. Pretty sweet buzzer beater from Cal.

Florida should move up to #2.

 

[BUHusky]

Ohio St moves up in the poll. Book it.

 

[FeedTheDove]

Get ready for

 

[champs99and04]

My guess is we're ranked #25 if UCLA wins tomorrow, #24 if they lose. Oklahoma split with Oklahoma State and Iowa State, so they'll probably stay where they are. Ohio State probably will, too. Wisconsin probably slides down to #22 or so. UMass and Memphis both fall out of the rankings. Fortunately, Cincinnati will probably leap up into the top ten, so if we beat them on the road, we'll jump five spots or so in the next poll.

 

[CTBasketball]

Either 23-25. Don't see us making a jump when we beat a pretty garbage Houston team.

 

[Doggie Style]

I don't care if we're ranked or not, just that we kick the out of L'ville in a few weeks! THAT will decide where we stack up going into the tourney. If we drop a turd on the court again against those dopes I'm gonna lose it. God I hate that team!!!

 

[OkaForPrez]

My guess is we're ranked #25 if UCLA wins tomorrow, #24 if they lose. Oklahoma split with Oklahoma State and Iowa State, so they'll probably stay where they are. Ohio State probably will, too. Wisconsin probably slides down to #22 or so. UMass and Memphis both fall out of the rankings. Fortunately, Cincinnati will probably leap up into the top ten, so if we beat them on the road, we'll jump five spots or so in the next poll.

Didn't OSU lose to psu earlier this week? No way a win over a scuffling Wisconsin offsets a loss that bad.

 

[Hi-Low]

They are a better team UNRANKED. UConn always seem to play much better as the underdog such as last year vs Cuse, Michigan State, Notre Dame, and Cincinnati (once). I hope we stay outta the top 25 somehow, cuz it doesn't sting as much when we lose

Troll alert...the logic is mind boggling. If we are ranked #25 we will still be an underdog @ Cincy, @ L'ville...the rest other key games are at home vs Memphis, SMU, Cincy. Probably a mistake to reply to a troll saying we will lose games if ranked....wow.

 

[jleves]

#18 Pitt just lost their second of the week so they're going to tumble. I could see us being anywhere from 19-23 with 21 or 22 being most probable.

Now the trick is to not fall back out. Gotta take care of business against Cincy.

 

[Jerry1714]

#18 Pitt just lost their second of the week so they're going to tumble. I could see us being anywhere from 19-23 with 21 or 22 being most probable.

Now the trick is to not fall back out. Gotta take care of business against Cincy.

Not a doubt now that UVA jumps us.

 

[caw]

19? Top 25 losses this week so far.

 

[husky91]

How or why does this matter? The RPI is 33, a 9 seed

 

[BUHusky]

Didn't OSU lose to psu earlier this week? No way a win over a scuffling Wisconsin offsets a loss that bad.

Hahaha. That's hilarious. How I wish that was true...

OSU lost 3 out of 4 games last month and still stayed in the Top 25. The media is way too in love with Craft to let OSU drop out. Beating Wisconsin (another overhyped and struggling B1G team) on the road is going to completely overshadow that terrible lose to PSU at home earlier in the week. Come tomorrow OSU stays pat or even moves up in the poll.

 

[tcf15]

Indiana is about to beat #10 Michigan. That will be good for us. About time they finally did something.

 

[upstater]

How or why does this matter? The RPI is 33, a 9 seed

You can't go by RPI. It's a consideration, but UConn is helped by Boston U. being #2 in its conference and Harvard being #1 in its conference, but a few of the dogs UConn beat (like Loyola) ar losing games and killing UConn's RPI. At the end of the day, I believe those sub #150 wins should all be treated the same. But they're not. The records of the low majors you played actually matter for some reason.

This is why the committee does right to look at your best OOC wins and your worst OOC losses in order to weigh your season, instead of just blindly looking at RPI. RPI is more useful for the committee in looking at the conference RPI and weighing your conference record accordingly. I think that's fair. But OOC it becomes much less useful.

UConn's OOC wins are going to be look at more favorably than most. Indiana just beat Michigan a few minutes ago, and they might even sneak into the tourney if they can go say 20-12 (now 14-8).

 

[tzznandrew]

How or why does this matter? The RPI is 33, a 9 seed

Not really the way it works.

You look less at RPI strictly, and more as a grouping mechanism. How many RPI Top 25/50/100 Wins and losses; how many Sub-100 losses; Road/Neutral Record. These things matter more than just your RPI number.

Right now, we're:

1-0 vs. RPI Top 25
3-3 vs. RPI Top 50
6-3 vs. RPI Top 100
10-1 vs. RPI sub-150
6-2 R/N
Comparison

0-4 vs. RPI Top 25
1-4 vs. RPI Top 50
7-4 vs. RPI Top 100
8-0 vs. RPI sub-150
6-2 R/N

I think our resume is better.
(This is Pitt)

Things that will happen:

Harvard will fall out of a Top 50 win (they are 49 now)

Remaining games:

two against current RPI Top 25 (Cincy)
three against teams in the RPI 25-50 (Memphis-27, Louisville-34, SMU-46).

What would be great:

Memphis crawls up into the RPI Top 25.
Louisville finishes Top 25 (34 now)
SMU stays in the Top 50.
Indiana (currently 73), gets into Top 50 (they have no games remaining against a sub-100 team...)
Maryland performs well against a tough remaining schedule (only one sub-100 game left), and maybe slides into Top 50.
Washington stays Top 100
Stanford stays Top 50 (44 right now)
Houston climbs into RPI Top 150 (176 now--won't happen though, they are 1-8 against RPI Top 150).
Scenario

Memphis and Louisville end the season Top 25 (reasonable). SMU stays Top 50. Harvard falls out. Everything else stays the same (Indiana rises, but not Top 50).

We win all remaining home games, all remaining sub-50 RPI games, and lose the two road games vs. Louisville and Cincy.

Going into the AAC Tournament, this would be their resume:

25-6
3-3 vs. RPI Top 25
4-5 vs. RPI Top 50
10-5 vs. RPI Top 100
15-1 vs. RPI sub-150
9-4 R/N

That is better than a #9 seed.

 

[kobe]

Cincinnati figures to be as high as #7 this week. I expect them to get into the top 10 at least. Hopefully you guys can get into the top 25 as well.

 

[aceboon]

I came here to post that UCLA is likely going to down to Oregon State but Roberto Nelson for Or State is doing his best to give UCLA this game all by himself.