OT: Selection Sunday Bracket preview before Marquette game

[bendm]

CBS Sports & TNT Sports to preview March Madness with in-season look at NCAA men’s tournament bracket

The NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Committee will provide an in-season look at the NCAA Division I Men’s Basketball Championship bracket on Saturday, Feb. 17 at 12:30 on CBS.

www.ncaa.com

 

[auror]

We'll be the #1 seed in the East, #2 on the S-curve. As Hurley said in one of his recent interviews, we weren't in this last year and still won the title.

 

[auror]

My top 16 prediction from my simple model... (25% resume ave, 25% predictive ave, 20% Q1 performance, 10% first 2 quad win margin, 10% first 3 quads win%, 5% away/neutral rec, 5% OOC SoS)

Team	S-Curve	Seed
Purdue	1	1
UConn	2	1
Houston	3	1
Arizona	4	1
Marquette	5	2
North Carolina	6	2
Tennessee	7	2
Baylor	8	2
Auburn	9	3
Iowa St	10	3
Alabama	11	3
Kansas	12	3
Duke	13	4
Dayton	14	4
Wisconsin	15	4
Illinois	16	4

Differences between me and BracketMatrix... I have UNC and Tenn swapped on the 2-line. I have Kansas as the last 3 instead of a 2 and Baylor in their spot. Auburn moves up a couple within 3rd seed. And I have Dayton in a protected seed ahead of Creighton and up above Wiscy.

Committee does usually favor power ratings a decent amount for seedlines 2-8 or so (less so for bubble), so I'm surprised to see Kansas on 2-line so often.

 

[Matt1010]

The committee is an absolute joke for this format. Stop being cowards and reveal the bubble which is far far more important and interesting.

 

[bendm]

How is auburn the only team ranked in the KP top 10 for offense and defense?

 

[ec33]

I love how the committee talks about all the games they watch (every game and hours and hours) then the seeding has nothing to do with basketball and everything to do with numbers.

We would be far better served with a CBS/ESPN/FOX panel of basketball commentators (or anyone from the basketball world that watches "hours and hours" of basketball) arriving at a bracket than these University presidents and athletic directors looking to hide behind arbitrary "computer code."

 

[Tenspro2002]

My top 16 prediction from my simple model... (25% resume ave, 25% predictive ave, 20% Q1 performance, 10% first 2 quad win margin, 10% first 3 quads win%, 5% away/neutral rec, 5% OOC SoS)

Team	S-Curve	Seed
Purdue	1	1
UConn	2	1
Houston	3	1
Arizona	4	1
Marquette	5	2
North Carolina	6	2
Tennessee	7	2
Baylor	8	2
Auburn	9	3
Iowa St	10	3
Alabama	11	3
Kansas	12	3
Duke	13	4
Dayton	14	4
Wisconsin	15	4
Illinois	16	4

Differences between me and BracketMatrix... I have UNC and Tenn swapped on the 2-line. I have Kansas as the last 3 instead of a 2 and Baylor in their spot. Auburn moves up a couple within 3rd seed. And I have Dayton in a protected seed ahead of Creighton and up above Wiscy.

Committee does usually favor power ratings a decent amount for seedlines 2-8 or so (less so for bubble), so I'm surprised to see Kansas on 2-line so often.

In actuality:
Purdue
UConn
Houston
Arizona
UNC
Tennessee
Marquette
Kansas
Bama
Baylor
ISU
Duke
Auburn
SDSU
Illinois
Wisconsin

The top 4 was as you (and most of us) expected. The next 3 were shuffled a bit but all on the #2 line.

The Committee continues to give Kansas a lot of undue respect at #8, especially relative to their pedestrian computer numbers (NET and KenPom both have them in the 15-20 range).

Auburn getting a lot of disrespect at #13, where the computers have them in the top 6. BYU and Dayton not on the board at all, but SDSU is.

 

[How Sway?!]

I love how the committee talks about all the games they watch (every game and hours and hours) then the seeding has nothing to do with basketball and everything to do with numbers.

We would be far better served with a CBS/ESPN/FOX panel of basketball commentators (or anyone from the basketball world that watches "hours and hours" of basketball) arriving at a bracket than these University presidents and athletic directors looking to hide behind arbitrary "computer code."

No, we really wouldn't.

 

[ec33]

No, we really wouldn't.

Would you except equally bad and move beyond crediting these people are knowing anything about basketball?

 

[WestCoastHusky]

Don't care where we are seeded, the end goal is to win the national championship.

We always had luck when we are seeded in the West. It would be fine if we are there as the #1 seed.

 

[FfldCntyFan]

Don't care where we are seeded, the end goal is to win the national championship.

We always had luck when we are seeded in the West. It would be fine if we are there as the #1 seed.

Normally I would be in full agreement. This year however, if we don't end up as #1 in the east it will be due to our having screwed something up horribly over the next few weeks.

 

[tzznandrew]

Don't care where we are seeded, the end goal is to win the national championship.

We always had luck when we are seeded in the West. It would be fine if we are there as the #1 seed.

Give me Brooklyn and Boston. Four near home games. We've done well in the West, but being in the East (Philly & Manhattan) clearly helped us too.

 

[bendm]

Hurley wants to be #1 in the east

Also it’s garbage the MW has 6 projected bids and BE has 4

 

[auror]

Hurley wants to be #1 in the east

Also it’s garbage the MW has 6 projected bids and BE has 4

We've cost the league a few bids by dominating so hard.