Score Predictions: vs Baylor and Sims scoring

[meyers7]

I will be happy if Baylor keeps the margin under 20, but I don't think they can. UCONN will win by 25 - 30.

I see you're trying the old reverse karma thing.

 

[msf22b]

Reasonably close, well contested game
UConn should win by 15
but maybe won't

 

[doggydaddy]

To the point: Completing a defensive possession includes securing a defensive rebound. Giving up offensive rebounds on more than 30% of the possible chances, which the Huskies have done routinely this year, even against utterly outmatched opponents like Houston, is not good defense in the sense of completing defensive possessions. Outside the Temple game, this number has been steadily getting worse as the season has progressed. They've been fortunate that the UCFs and Houstons don't have the talent to take advantage of that weakness. Baylor IMO does. Are you even aware of these numbers? Or the significance of an OR allowed stat of over 30%?

2013-14 29.2%
2012-13 30.5%
2011-12 31.2%
2010-11 28.4%
2009-10 29.0%
2008-09 31.9%

This year

Temple 45.8%
Houston 27.3%
Memphis 33.3%
UCF 35.9%
Cinncinatti 22.2%

Yes, the last 5 games, Uconn has given up more offensive rebounds than previous games. And 45.8 against Temple was a horrible number. But looking at other games, that was a true outlier. They are right on track for around 30% this year.

If this is the stat hook you are having you prediction hat on, I don't think Uconn has to worry. They won championships averaging over 30% in 2012-13 and 2008-09.

 

[meyers7]

@Buzzyboy: I have to laugh that I'm now being castigated for not predicting "big enough" UConn victories.

I have to laugh at your prediction. This isn't Stanford or Duke we are playing. This is a team on level with Kentucky, who lost to Duke, Florida and S. Carolina.

Granted anything can happen, but it would be a huge (huge) upset if Baylor were to win, and a very unexpected thing if they stayed within 10-15 (a huge moral victory). I would expect 20-25.

I'll g0 80-57.

 

[blaqtech]

UCONN 70 Baylor 65..... Sims goes for 45

 

[rvwsleep]

2013-14 29.2%
2012-13 30.5%
2011-12 31.2%
2010-11 28.4%
2009-10 29.0%
2008-09 31.9%

This year

Temple 45.8%
Houston 27.3%
Memphis 33.3%
UCF 35.9%
Cinncinatti 22.2%

Yes, the last 5 games, Uconn has given up more offensive rebounds than previous games. And 45.8 against Temple was a horrible number. But looking at other games, that was a true outlier. They are right on track for around 30% this year.

If this is the stat hook you are having you prediction hat on, I don't think Uconn has to worry. They won championships averaging over 30% in 2012-13 and 2008-09.

DD Check the UCF game stats. ESPN has UCF with only 10 off rebs. But that's besides the point. RR is looking at stats from the Houston game where UConn won by 50 and was up 33 at halftime or the Temple game they won by 44. Does a statistical analysis of such a lopsided game mean anything ? Look at the OR stats against the last 2 ranked teams (Duke and California) they played. Both are under 30% I believe. So, tell us RR. What is the Significance of a OR above 30% for UConn ?

 

[Replicant]

Uconn wins 78-62. Sims scores 30.

Baylor comes out over-amped. The adrenaline wears off quickly as UConn begins a basketball clinic and shuts the Waco crowd down early.

Sims will do her best ND impression - driving the lane and lunging into defenders attempting to draw fouls. Depending on the officiating crew, they may bite and accommodate her early on, but UConn's talent at all positions will wear them down and out. A 10 point lead goes to 20, 20 to 30 and then it's cruise control time.

Huskies 82 vs. Lady Bears 35 + Sims 22

 

[Striper69]

But did they know the hotel chef where UCONN will be staying?

Funny.

Baylor 65
UCONN 62

Sims 50 points

 

[doggydaddy]

Funny.

Baylor 65
UCONN 62

Sims 50 points

Possibly the dumbest prediction I've ever seen.

 

[CCinCT]

UCONN 90 - 60

 

[DaddyChoc]

82-61 UConn

 

[blaqtech]

Funny.

Baylor 65
UCONN 62

Sims 50 points

What da what??????

 

[Bigpetunia]

78-65 UConn
Sims 29

 

[JoePgh]

Possibly the dumbest prediction I've ever seen.

Malfunctioning sarcasm detector observed.

 

[doggydaddy]

Malfunctioning sarcasm detector observed.

Wanna bet?

Based on prior posts, I'm guessing he is serious.

 

[herbiep]

I have to laugh at your prediction. This isn't Stanford or Duke we are playing. This is a team on level with Kentucky, who lost to Duke, Florida and S. Carolina.

Granted anything can happen, but it would be a huge (huge) upset if Baylor were to win, and a very unexpected thing if they stayed within 10-15 (a huge moral victory). I would expect 20-25.

I'll g0 80-57.

Wellllllllll ??

 

[herbiep]

I think what most fans forget, these are college kids. Off night shooting, pressure, bad officiating, always in favor of home team, etc. As I posted the other day, I would be happy with a one point win, so, I am really happy with the way Uconn hung on at the end.

 

[herbiep]

I

I think you're suggesting that UConn has forgotten how to play defense. I can't even imagine the Huskies giving up close to 70 points to anyone with the POSSIBLE exception of Notre Dame and I think that would be with significant odds of even the Irish doing that. How many weapons does Baylor have? Who has Baylor played that is any good defensively???? Not a chance for them scoring 70 points IMHO.

wonder if anyone is laughing at your prediction now.........LOL

 

[MilfordHusky]

Is Easy Ed the winner?

 

[easttexastrash]

Rocky is talking about when other team shoots. He makes an interesting point although this hasn't kept us from blowing out teams much better than Baylor.

Which teams are much better than Baylor? Not even UCONN proved to be "much" better than Baylor.

 

[easttexastrash]

Reasonably close, well contested game
UConn should win by 15
but maybe won't

msf22b makes a good prediction

 

[housekeys]

Which teams are much better than Baylor? Not even UCONN proved to be "much" better than Baylor.

Answer is, what is Baylor's record?
The only thing proven is that UConn is human. I find it funny that it had to be proven, and that the media and many fans can take solace in the fact that UConn is human. UConn is on another level, but I give credit to Baylor, and to their best player: their fans. Great atmosphere. One final thing, there is no one better than Stewart.

 

[EasyEd]

Is Easy Ed the winner?

I didn't know that you actually win anything. Thankfully, I was way off on the Simms scoring thanks to the UConn defense, otherwise we might have lost. BTW, my wife says I'm a "winner" no matter what I guess for scores.

 

[MilfordHusky]

I didn't know that you actually win anything. Thankfully, I was way off on the Simms scoring thanks to the UConn defense, otherwise we might have lost. BTW, my wife says I'm a "winner" no matter what I guess for scores.

DaddyChoc will be getting your address to send your prize, but don't give him your DOB or SSN.

 

[DaddyChoc]

DaddyChoc will be getting your address to send your prize, but don't give him your DOB or SSN.

Im not Target... you DOB & SSN will be secure with me and dont forget your bank account number(s) so the transaction can be as smooth as possible.