At this point, I would say a Sweet Sixteen this season would be considered a success. There's a LOT of unknowns. I'd say the only confident assumptions are that Sanogo will be a monster, Andre will refine his game even further, and Newton will be a solid scorer.
Listing some unknowns off the top of my head - can Hawkins be a consistent 15+ PPG takeover scorer like we think? Will Newton just be a solid scorer behind Sanogo or will he be able to take over the offense when needed like at ECU? Will Andre and Sanogo be able to shoot like the offseason videos suggest? Did Samson develop enough to be a serviceable BE starting PF? Will Karaban and/or Clingan produce year 1 or will they need a year to get accustomed to college? Are Diarra/Alleyne/Calcaterra going to be powerful bench pieces, or are they going to be Polley/Gaffney/Hawkins v2 (for what it's worth, I think this is the least unknown part of the unknowns. They should be much better). Who's going to replace the absolute DOG from RJ/Tyrese? And most importantly of all, how is DH going to design and implement his new 5 out offense?
If we hit on 50% of those, which we should, I'd say we can be a Sweet Sixteen team. If we hit on more, we're going to be very dangerous. The talent level on the roster is the highest we've seen in a while, and I think there's realistically 3-4 guys that can go pro.
Should be a fun season. I really am excited to see how they play at the PKI