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2018 wins needed for NCAA bid

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I didn’t follow Warren Nolan RPI until a few weeks into the season last year. At what point does it usually sort itself out to actually represent the best teams?

D1baseball.com says it will start showing RPI data on its website on March 18. That is after five weekends of play. I was thinking mid to late March, so I’m inclined to think the D1Baseball.com standard of starting to pay attention to the RPI by that date is pretty good.
 
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Observations from last night

(1) Great to see Cate being Cate again

(2) Winning first game of series is such a big deal. Takes pressure off and only need to split next 2 games to win series. Obviously always looking for a sweep, but if we take 2 of 3 each weekend we are in great shape.

(3) Would like to add insurance runs when up ( yesterday 5 -1). Seems like we can improve in that department.

(4) Even though again WAY to early to be significant. But our RPI is at 9 and lowest in AAC.

(5) So far we are exceeding my unscientific goals below. Only need to go 5 - 5 in "Other Games" category to reach that goal.

GO Huskies





current record.. season goal

0 - 0 / .000 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
0- 0 / .000% ... 11 - 4 / .733 - New England games
5-2/ .714.... 10 - 7/ .588 - Other games


Post season Criteria
(1) 5-2 / .714 ..... 37-23 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 9.... <50- RPI


(3) Top 4 AAC - Not yet applicable



CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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Last 2 games very disappointing, after having Cate pitch well and winning Friday. Need to bounce back next weekend. Looking like Yale game probably rescheduled because of snow Wednesday





current record.. season goal

0 - 0 / .000 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
0- 0 / .000% ... 11 - 4 / .733 - New England games
5-4/ .556.... 10 - 7/ .588 - Other games


Post season Criteria
(1) 5-4 / .556 ..... 37-23 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 43.... <50- RPI

(3) Top 4 AAC - Not yet applicable



CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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Much needed win yesterday. Bats came alive, hoping they stay alive for rest of road trip. Need at least 2 of next 3.


current record.. season goal
0 - 0 / .000 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
0- 0 / .000% ... 11 - 4 / .733 - New England games
6-5/ .545.... 10 - 7/ .588 - Other games


Post season Criteria
(1) 6-5 .545 ..... 37-23 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 47.... <50- RPI

(3) Top 4 AAC - Not yet applicable



CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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Need 2 wins this weekend at minimum vs a good St. John's team. Our RPI is pretty high at 32. Winning away games vs St. Johns would be huge. Plus it is going to be real important for us to take care of our New England games. It really hurts us losing games we should win. Hoping bats can be more consistent, starting this weekend.



current record.. season goal
0 - 0 / .000 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
0- 0 / .000% ... 11 - 4 / .733 - New England games
7-6/ .538.... 10 - 7/ .588 - Other games


Post season Criteria
(1) 7-6 .545 ..... 37-23 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 32.... <50- RPI

(3) Top 4 AAC - Not yet applicable



CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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Much needed win today over a good St. Johns team. If we can get a win tomorrow, we would be 9 -7 in our " Other Games" category. Since we had a game postponed we would not reach our goal of 10 - 7. But if we win I am going to mark us a goal reached. Not going to penalize us for a game that was postponed.



current record.. season goal

0 - 0 / .000 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
0- 0 / .000% ... 11 - 4 / .733 - New England games
8-7/ .533.... 10 - 7/ .588 - Other games


Post season Criteria
(1) 8-7 .533 ..... 37-23 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 32.... <50- RPI

(3) Top 4 AAC - Not yet applicable



CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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Great and very important series win vs a good St. Johns team on the road. Our bats are still lagging behind, put impressive pitching ( especially bullpen) led us to the last 2 wins. We are 8 - 3 in games Cate has Not started. I think all of us would have taken that at beginning of year. I am going with the glass half full, and looking at this as a positive. I am confident Cate will turn his season around soon and be a major contributor to teams success.

Of our next 10 games, 7 are vs New England teams and 3 vs USF. My goal ( at minimum) is to go 7 -3. This gets our record to 16 - 10 with a .615 winning %. Our winning % goal for year ( below) is .617. We really need to win our New England games. Last few years these games have come back to hurt us at end of year.





Current record.. season goal

0 - 0 / .000 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
0- 0 / .000% ... 11 - 4 / .733 - New England games
9-7/ .562.... 9 - 7/ .562- Other games


Post season Criteria
(1) 9-7 .562 ..... 37-23 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 28.... <50- RPI

(3) Top 4 AAC - Not yet applicable



CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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Great and very important series win vs a good St. Johns team on the road. Our bats are still lagging behind, put impressive pitching ( especially bullpen) led us to the last 2 wins. We are 8 - 3 in games Cate has Not started. I think all of us would have taken that at beginning of year. I am going with the glass half full, and looking at this as a positive. I am confident Cate will turn his season around soon and be a major contributor to teams success.

Of our next 10 games, 7 are vs New England teams and 3 vs USF. My goal ( at minimum) is to go 7 -3. This gets our record to 16 - 10 with a .615 winning %. Our winning % goal for year ( below) is .617. We really need to win our New England games. Last few years these games have come back to hurt us at end of year.

Current record.. season goal
0 - 0 / .000 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
0- 0 / .000% ... 11 - 4 / .733 - New England games
9-7/ .562.... 9 - 7/ .562- Other games


Post season Criteria
(1) 9-7 .562 ..... 37-23 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 28.... <50- RPI

(3) Top 4 AAC - Not yet applicable


CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable

I'll take UConn's record, especially considering the #28 RPI that comes with it. The goal now is to try to win every weekend series, going 2-1 each time. The weekday games more or less count as their own weekend series, so I would to see UConn win 2 out of 3 of those games, or perhaps slightly better. While there are enough New England teams with poor RPI's where a loss could hurt, not all of them are dreadful. Teams like Boston College, Bryant, and Rhode Island are usually pretty good year in and year out. And this year Northeastern is still clocking in at #2 in the RPI.
 
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Nice come from behind win yesterday. Not so much that it was a big win, but a loss is very disappointing and hurts us down the road. Again pitching was very good, still waiting for bats to come alive.

Always hoping to win our AAC weekend series. Winning 2 of 3 on road vs USF would be a good way to start off our conference schedule.




Current record.. season goal

0 - 0 / .000 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0 - 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
1- 0 / 1.000% ... 11 - 4 / .733 - New England games
9-7/ .562.... 9 - 7/ .562- Other games



Post season Criteria
(1) 10-7 .588 ..... 37-23 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 34.... <50- RPI

(3) Top 4 AAC - Not yet applicable



CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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Going to state the obvious, but a great way to start our AAC season. We beat arguably the best pitcher in the country. Even though do not want to be greedy, it would have been nice to add on some insurance runs after the 2nd inning.

There is a lot of "Green" categories below, but that can change quickly. Would like to get at least 1 of these next 2, to add to our nation leading road wins. I believe we are tied for the lead with 11. These road wins will continue to help our RPI and be a very positive factor for the NCAA selection committee.

Go Huskies

Current record.. season goal
1 - 0 / 1.000 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0- 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
1- 0 / 1.000% ... 11 - 4 / .733 - New England games
9-7/ .562.... 9 - 7/ .562- Other games



Post season Criteria
(1) 11-7 .611 ..... 37-23 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 21.... <50- RPI

(3) First - Top 4 AAC



CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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Very disappointing weekend ( especially today) after winning Friday evening. As someone else posted, it seems like we play better if we lose our Friday night game. Really thought we were going to salvage weekend , when we were up 2 in the 8th.

Much of the "Green" has switched to "Red" below. Need to do some damage in upcoming New England games. Even though our RPI is still very good, we need to get some wins






Current record.. season goal
1 - 2 / .333 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0- 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
1- 0 / 1.000% ... 11 - 4 / .733 - New England games
9-7/ .562.... 9 - 7/ .562- Other games



Post season Criteria
(1) 11-9 .550 ..... 37-23 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 24.... <50- RPI

(3) 6th - Top 4 AAC


CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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It was a disappointing weekend indeed, however, it doesn't seem to have hurt UConn's RPI. At last check of the Warren Nolan website, UConn is now at 21. Makes you wonder how high UConn might have bounced if the Huskies had picked up another win at South Florida. The AAC is shaping up to be another one of its typically tough slogs, with 5 AAC teams currently in the top 60 RPI, and with a couple of other teams (Houston and Tulane) that I wouldn't be surprised if they soon break in to the RPI 100 and continue rising. It's a tough conference where you just can't take any win for granted.

American Athletic Conference Standings 2018 College Baseball - WarrenNolan.com

Given the strength of the AAC, it would seem UConn really needs to take care of business in the New England games. However, the Boston College game on Tuesday promises to be a tough one. UConn could really use that win.
 
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It will be nice to actually start playing some home games too
 
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Always nice to beat BC in anything. Great pitching performance by Kersten, vs a solid BC team. Not going to put the next 5 games in the must win category, but I would be very disappointed if we don't get a minimum of 4 wins. These games have really hurt us in the past.

Our RPI is currently at 18. With our AAC schedule our RPI will take care of itself. I realize I am beating a dead horse, but we NEED to win these New England games to add to our win total. It is not so much how much a win helps, but how much each of these losses hurts us.

Prior to this last 10 game stretch, I was hoping we went ( at minimum) 7 - 3. We are currently 3 - 2, going 4 - 1 gets us to 7 - 3 and to a 16 - 10 overall record. Would be happy with that, but really hope we get these next 5.


Current record.. season goal

1 - 2 / .333 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0- 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
2- 0 / 1.000% ... 11 - 4 / .733 - New England games
9-7/ .562.... 9 - 7/ .562- Other games



Post season Criteria
(1) 12-9 .571 ..... 37-23 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 18... <50- RPI

(3) 6th - Top 4 AAC


CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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Did our job yesterday. The game was much more nerve racking then final score, but the late big inning put game away for us. Need another one today to keep momentum going.



Current record.. season goal

1 - 2 / .333 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0- 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
3- 0 / 1.000% ... 11 - 4 / .733 - New England games
9-7/ .562.... 9 - 7/ .562- Other games



Post season Criteria
(1) 13-9 .591 ..... 37-23 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 18... <50- RPI

(3) 6th - Top 4 AAC


CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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Again, we did what we needed to do today. Great pitching by Feole and glad to see Woodworth get 3 hits. With his glove , it would be a big contribution if he can hit a bit. Lets get another win tomorrow.

Go Huskies


Current record.. season goal

1 - 2 / .333 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0- 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
4- 0 / 1.000% ... 11 - 4 / .733 - New England games
9-7/ .562.... 9 - 7/ .562- Other games



Post season Criteria
(1) 14-9 .609 ..... 37-23 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 18... <50- RPI

(3) 6th - Top 4 AAC


CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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Even though it wasn't easy, another needed win. Our pitching has been outstanding, only giving up 2 runs in 3 games. But our hitting needs to improve. Besides a few innings this weekend, we did not hit well.

We have won 4 in a row and 8 of last 10. Hopefully take care of business vs Fairfield and Quinipiac this week. Then head to a tough stretch with UCF, Bryant and Wichita State.

Go Huskies





Current record.. season goal

1 - 2 / .333 % .... 14 - 10 / .583 % - AAC regular season
0- 0 / .000% .... 2 - 2 / .500 - AAC tourney
5- 0 / 1.000% ... 11 - 4 / .733 - New England games
9-7/ .562.... 9 - 7/ .562- Other games



Post season Criteria
(1) 15-9 .625 ..... 37-23 / .617 - Overall record

(2) 23... <50- RPI

(3) 7th - Top 4 AAC


CHART Code
red = below goal
green = at or above goal
black = not yet applicable
 
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To reiterate how “must win” the New England games are, UConn went 4-0 against BC, Hartford and CCSU this week and fell 2 spots in the RPI
Totally agree, that it really does not help our RPI to win these games. But losing them kills our RPI. Don't want to Jinx it, but so far we are taken care of business in these games.

Happy Easter to all and Go Huskies
 
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Happy Easter BYers.

Two big series (UCF and Wichita St) sandwiched in between a few quality northeast opponents coming up. The next two+ weeks will tell us a lot about this team and their NCAA tournament hopes.
 

HuskyHawk

The triumphant return of the Blues Brothers.
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Happy Easter BYers.

Two big series (UCF and Wichita St) sandwiched in between a few quality northeast opponents coming up. The next two+ weeks will tell us a lot about this team and their NCAA tournament hopes.

Am I imagining it, or does this team seem to be in roughly this position every year? Bubble team, that either just gets in or just misses the cut. I was encouraged that they haven't blown any of the should win New England games yet. But we need some solid conference wins.
 

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