Considering it was $137MM last year (58% decrease), this could be incredibly alarming. That being said, valuations are purely speculative estimates and I'm guessing what he is doing does not fully consider intangibles and differences in conference affiliations. He's looking solely at cashflows which of course when you're in the AAC are pretty bad. Some of you may remember my tweet on this last year (below) and as the results kind of showed that year, there is a lot of reason for skepticism in the numbers. Some of it looks OK, but a lot of it appears to be driven more by TV pay outs from conference than success, interest, and potential growth of the program.
I still say the 58% decrease is alarming, but it's alarming for reasons that have been hashed out here and on the conference realignment board time after time so we already are all on the same page.
I tried reaching out to this Mr. Brewer last year to ask about his process from one professional to another and he never responded. If you don't want to talk about your methodology and process for something that is put out the public, that also makes me even more skeptical of the work.
