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We had discussions before and during the year. So now that the season is over... who was our best player?

#1 offense, #4 defense. The last time a team finished a season top 4 in both offense and defense was '08 Kansas who won the title. They did need a miracle to do so in the championship game, though, the infamous Memphis FT/Collins 3 to force OT. They also beat Steph Curry in the tournament.

How do the best teams fare in the NCAA tournament? I wanted to think about best both in terms of predictive metrics and also best in terms of resume. I went back and looked at the top 3 KenPom teams and the top 3 teams in Torvik's WAB (Wins Above Bubble) for each of the last 12 years entering...

32. St. John's 20-12 (11-9 BE, 1-0 tourny) Power - #26 (#25), Resume - #53 (#54) Non-Conf SoS - #174 Away/Neutral: 7-8 Q1: 3-9 (1A 2-6), H-Creighton, @-Villanova @-Butler Q2: 7-2 Top 2: 10-11 Q3+Q4 losses: 1, H-Michigan Wins Under Consideration: 6-9 (14-3 non) BracketMatrix - 11 seed, Last four...

Here's how we're looking today before this weekend's last BE games and before the BET. 31. Villanova 17-13...

Back for this update after the weekend and Tues/Wed games. Back on the bubble: St. John's. Barely clinging to the bubble: Butler. Butler lost to 2 fellow bubble teams this past week and has hit the 14-loss (with BET loss) cliff that means they are likely excluded, but they're still on the...

Back for this update after the weekend and Tues/Wed games. Off the bubble: St. John's and Xavier. Resume metrics just not good enough and St John's only 1 chance for meaningful win remaining. Xavier has a few, but they're really behind the eight ball with 13 losses and only 2 quad 1 wins and 2...

My All-Conference Model Evan Miya BPR, Hoop-Explorer Conf-Only RAPM, Torvik Conf-Only BPM Player of the Year 1. Donovan Clingan, UConn (First in all 3 BPR, RAPM, and BPM) —----------------------------- 1st Team 2. Devin Carter, Providence 3. Cam Spencer, UConn 4. Kadary Richmond, Seton Hall 5...

Our winning streak is up to 13 games, and all are conference games. As far as I can tell, this is a program record for conference winning streak (I went back to 1952 on Sports-Reference). We won 14 in a row in 1965 conference season, but there were some independents mixed in. We won 13 straight...

Marquette peaking so the game this weekend will officially be a top 5 showdown.

Rank/order these teams and give your reasoning. They are ordered by NET ranking. Power = ave rank of KenPom, T-Rank, EvanMiya, BPI, and NET Resume = ave rank of KPI, SOR, and WAB Team A Record (Conf): 14-9 (6-6) Power - 35, Resume - 56 Away/Neutral - 4-6 NCSoS - 132 Q1 (1A), Q2, Total: 2-7...

All Big East teams have now played 10 or 9 games and Seton Hall is playing their 11th game tonight, so we've essentially reached the halfway point of the conference season. We're starting to get a feel for where teams are stacking up, and how their tournament resumes are shaping up. Charts...

UConn opens 5.5 point favorites on DraftKings. Over/Under 142.

So there's a discussion about our center lineups out here online. Here's some data for context, courtesy of Hoop-Explorer. SMALL SAMPLE SIZE ALERT. This is descriptive data (what has happened so far), not predictive data (what will surely continue happening). This data is filtered to remove...

So we all thought it was a clear Big 3 in the Big East of UConn, Marquette, and Creighton before the season started. The metrics backed that up entering conference play. And all 3 lost their Big East opener. Creighton even at home. The good news of the night is that we're not behind the 8-ball...

Ranked by NET as of 12/19 at 5pm #5 UConn KenPom Preseason 4 -> 3 Current rank (3/11 off/def) Strengths - Dominating the paint, Winning the rebounding war, Shot selection, Passing, Taking care of the ball Weaknesses - 3pt shooting D* Q1 Wins - N-UNC, N-Gonzaga Q3/Q4 Losses - None #7 Marquette...

Lunardi has us 1 seed in the East.

8 minutes or so on UConn guys. 24:08 start

In regards to UConn's offense this season, there has been a lot of talk of this being the best offensive scheme and execution UConn has had in a while. Prominent posters have chimed in saying it's the best offense we've run in 40+ years. So here's the stat to back it up (at least partially)...

https://themessenger.com/sports/uconn-huskies-dan-hurley-chance-to-repeat-as-ncaa-national-champions

With the timing of the games, traveling to NYC for the games, and the holidays, didn't get to this until the weekend. I decided to lump all 3 into one post. Some "light" reading before the game tonight. Check out this post for a refresher on what I'm doing here. Indiana Texas...

Check out this post for a refresher on what I do here. To start, Mississippi Valley State was a lot more physical than the last 2 teams we played. A good wakeup call. They committed 26 fouls and dragged us into committing 20 ourselves for 46 total in the game. They also sent a few guys to the...

Draftkings opens UConn -42.5. Fanduel doesn't even have a spread. KenPom -41, Torvik -34. UConn 2-0-0 vs. spread so far. Sportsbooks hedging in our direction vs. the analytic spreads by 1.5+ points.

Check out this post for a refresher on what I do here. Interesting matchup stylistically. I like playing Stonehill despite their not great metrics. Their 5-out offense and player versatility provide a good challenge to our personnel and Donovan specifically defensively. It's a warmup to Nova or...

Draftkings opens UConn -35.5. Fanduel -34.5. KenPom -33, Torvik -32. UConn 1-0-0 vs. spread so far. Sportsbooks hedging in our direction vs. the analytic spreads by 2.5+ points.

Bringing this post series back from last year for the beginning of the year, as it's most useful for figuring out how the new pieces are playing and fitting in. I've watched the replay back while taking notes. A non-exhaustive list of positive plays are nice drives, noteworthy passes (not...

Draftkings opens UConn -24. Fanduel -23.5. KenPom -23, Torvik -24.4. UConn under Hurley tends to really pound bad teams. Since 18-19, UConn has covered non-conference spreads against KenPom teams in the 200s (on gameday) at 77% rate (10-3), which is phenomenal. Just don't mention St...