Sagarin | The Boneyard

Sagarin

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Looks like he used last year's final rankings as his starting point.

Should take maybe 10 games or so before these rankings begin to have some validity.
 

UcMiami

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Yeah a little bit weird in terms of schedule strength and such and obviously all just a bit premature.
 

UcMiami

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Had to revive this because things are really wild now - proof that numbers and stats can lie if taken out of context. It is obviously too early for his formulas to work properly - his current top ten is totally wacky and while Uconn is still ranked #1, its record against top 50 is now 0-0 as both Maryland and Stanford have dropped out of his top 50 schools!
I am sure it will begin making sense by mid December, but right now it is just funny.
 
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The Massey ratings are also up. (masseyratings.com). His ratings seem to make more sense--possibly relies more on last year. He projects us winning tomorrow 77-62. I suspect it won't be that close.
 

Fightin Choke

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Had to revive this because things are really wild now - proof that numbers and stats can lie if taken out of context. It is obviously too early for his formulas to work properly - his current top ten is totally wacky and while Uconn is still ranked #1, its record against top 50 is now 0-0 as both Maryland and Stanford have dropped out of his top 50 schools!
I am sure it will begin making sense by mid December, but right now it is just funny.
Yes, it's a little wacky right now. Notre Dame was ranked third after beating UNC-Wilmington, but after defeating #20 (in Sagarin's) Michigan State, Notre Dame dropped to 176th, while Michigan State dropped to 79th. And how does Sagarin have Baylor #2 when their SOS is ranked 329th? You're right, VAMike23, we should check back later. Maybe mid-December?
 
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Sagarin is usually funky early on but i wonder if there is a flat out bug right now. Some really crazy results. But either way it will all be sorted out by year end.
 

pap49cba

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One shouldn't have to wait months for a fancy ranking program to get sorted out. How does he do it for football?
 

vtcwbuff

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I've followed Sagarin for many years. While it is true that his rankings accuracy improves as the sample number increases, I have never seen it screwed up like this. My guess - he hired the Obamacare software people to upgrade his site.
 

geordi

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I've followed Sagarin for many years. While it is true that his rankings accuracy improves as the sample number increases, I have never seen it screwed up like this. My guess - he hired the Obamacare software people to upgrade his site.
Or more likely he left it up to a joint congressional committee to develop the ranking.
 
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Stanford 147, Notre Dame 176, he must have had too much to drink when he put in his figures.
 
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