You want a date?
I bet you can give a highly educated guess as to the date of the next CR move. Give me the documents of the TV deals that B1G & ACC & B12 have. Let me examine the "material adverse change clause". Get that pesky Maryland exit suit solved.
This is like watching homeowners watching interest rates and prepayment open options. The MOVE date is when the economics shift to provide more Marginal Revenue to each school in the existing conference. And it doesn't have to be a large incremental number. Donald Sterling is crazy; but, he said the other day that TV rights dollars are going to keep on going up. And, if you look at some recent transactional history, you can see that this market is still dynamic. If that is true, time is all the variable you'll need. Growth in revenue means more eyeballs will come from adding more scale; and then the Contract opens up ... and we have 18 teams in a league and 14 in another and 12 in the other.
I wish there was a strident strong commissioner to all of this stuff. But ... at least we get to watch Senators show their knowledge.