changing economics | The Boneyard

changing economics

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There are major cost-cutting measures underway at ESPN. And it should make everyone — yes, everyone: sports leagues, cable companies, advertisers, ESPN employees — nervous. According to a report from The Hollywood Reporter, the so-called "Worldwide Leader in Sports," is currently looking to cut $100 million from its 2016 budget and $250 million from 2017. And these cuts are coming from the top: ESPN's parent company, Disney, is demanding savings.

The first thing ESPN has reportedly done to trim costs is save on talent. But Keith Olbermann and Bill Simmons leaving ESPN will not save $250 million in 2017. A report from The Wall Street Journal, however, makes it seem like these cuts aren't just about saving money, but are really moves that seem to be made in response to a quick devolution of the company's business model. The Journal reports that ESPN has lost 3.2 million subscribers in over a year. Since 2011, ESPN's reach in US households has fallen 7.2% after having nearly 100% of the pay-TV market, or about 100 million households.

And so things have changed quickly for ESPN. ESPN, though ubiquitous in most US homes, is actually an extremely expensive channel for your cable provider to bring to you. According to a Wall Street Journal report from August 2014, ESPN costs about $6.04 per person for a cable provider. By comparison, channels like TNT, Fox News, TBS, and NFL Network all cost less than $1.50. And so while channels like HBO and Showtime are considered "premium channels," ESPN is head and shoulders more costly than other channels it is often bundled with.

Now, given that it is, again, the "Worldwide Leader in Sports," and sports are considered just about the only live TV event that still demands viewers watch, well, live, advertising space on ESPN is coveted. But according to The Journal, Disney has chaffed at just how much advertising ESPN is putting on its broadcasts — and how this is eating into cross-promoting other Disney content.


Via The Journal:
As it trims costs, ESPN is also looking for new ways to boost revenue. In previous years, Disney’s ABC network received four minutes of time to promote its new shows for the fall during each NBA finals game it aired. This year, ESPN, which manages the NBA rights for Disney, cut that amount by about 75% so that it could sell more ads, people with knowledge of the matter said, a move that angered ABC executives. And so ESPN, which accounts for about 25% of Disney's annual profit, seems to be caught in a pickle: It needs to boost revenue but cut costs.

And this all while the price of its most coveted content — live sports — goes through the roof. A new NBA deal, announced last October and taking effect as of the 2016-2017 NBA season, will see ESPN's average annual fees to broadcast the league triple — to $1.47 billion from $485 million. In football, ESPN currently pays $1.9 billion a year to broadcast "Monday Night Football" in a deal with the NFL that runs through 2021. This is not cheap content.

But perhaps the most worrying part of the report is the deal ESPN struck last year with Dish Network's new Sling TV service, a streaming-internet-TV service that costs just $20 a month. According to The Journal, Disney reached a deal with Dish to cancel its agreement to include ESPN on Sling TV if more than 3 million Nielsen households — or homes that count for the all-important Nielsen ratings — got rid of ESPN after May 2014.
According to The Wall Street Journal's sources, this threshold has now been crossed.

So now the question is: Will ESPN go it alone, offering something like HBO's "over-the-top" (outside of a traditional cable bundle) HBO Now streaming offering, or figure something else out? The economics, at least as The Journal calculates them, are not favorable.
 

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This is what I was alluding to last week in another thread. The predictability of the cable boxes biz model is now under threat and that could through another wrench in CRA. The inability to rely on all those non sports households to pay up for ESPN and other sports channels has reached its zenith.
 

CTMike

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In the near term, I think ESPN needs to take a page from the HBO and Showtime playbook and offer stand alone streaming to those who want it. I'm pretty sure cable companies will pay them not to do it (probably already are), but it's the only way they will be able to lessen the outflow of subscribers.

The other thought is - they will be more choosy with what they bid, which will open the door for competitors to outbid them.

Losers like the LHN will need to be culled from the herd going forward.
 
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I think it will become acceptable to the consumer to pay more, even a PPV, to watch sports. So I don't think the next B1G deal will be driven down by the un-bundling. Rather, having must see live content available as a one-off and/or to repackage as part of a new bundle (and to sell to advertisers) will be more important than ever.
 

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I think it will become acceptable to the consumer to pay more, even a PPV, to watch sports. So I don't think the next B1G deal will be driven down by the un-bundling. Rather, having must see live content available as a one-off and/or to repackage as part of a new bundle will be more important than ever.

Yes, this will have to result in those who watch sports paying more. It really can't work any other way. For 30 years televised sports received an enormous stream of income from households stuck in cable packages they didn't want paying for sports they didn't care about. Now that will start to unwind which will force the true sports fan to make up the difference for the lost revenue.
 

CL82

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Tough to say how this impacts UConn. Less money for cable sports means less money available to pay conferences. On the other hand the current paradigm hasn't served UConn well, so a shift at least offers the possibility that that might change.
 
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From what I have discovered traveling about cable in Alabama ... Mississipi... Texas ... NY ... NJ.... CT isnt really that big a difference in price. It might a little different say 20-30 dollars a month but... its not as big a gap as the amount of money people from NY NJ and CT have to play with compared to the others. I still pay for full cable since I can afford it and it doesn't really effect me that much..... still. That's something that might help CT.... people in Ct can still afford cable.
 
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From what I have discovered traveling about cable in Alabama ... Mississipi... Texas ... NY ... NJ.... CT isnt really that big a difference in price. It might a little different say 20-30 dollars a month but... its not as big a gap as the amount of money people from NY NJ and CT have to play with compared to the others. I still pay for full cable since I can afford it and it doesn't really effect me that much..... still. That's something that might help CT.... people in Ct can still afford cable.

It would seem reasonable that at some point the fact that the average uconn fan makes more money than most p5 school's fans would be a benefit to UConn in realignment. Hopefully that is coming within the next 2-3 years
 

SubbaBub

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Revenue generating broadcast rights cost money. Expensive talking heads reading scores or spouting off are expendable.
 

whaler11

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I was going to post something the other day that things must be bad based on how they cut the cord on KO.
 
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I've already canceled all TV packages that contain LHN, PAC12, SEC or B1G networks. To do this it means I've had to cancel ESPN also. When I want sports on channels I don't get, I go to a bar. Can't say that I miss these channels. I think more of this will be happening. I did it for principle but a side benefit is the substantial savings on my cable bill.

I couldn't stand putting money into the pockets of the SEC, PAC12, LHN and B1G since we were left out. If we get into a P5 conference then I'll subscribe again. Money = power, albeit how small of an amount it is. If all of CT did the same it would be quite a statement. I'm not foolish I know this is not possible but it is my way of rebelling.
 

Dooley

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I've already canceled all TV packages that contain LHN, PAC12, SEC or B1G networks. To do this it means I've had to cancel ESPN also. When I want sports on channels I don't get, I go to a bar. Can't say that I miss these channels. I think more of this will be happening. I did it for principle but a side benefit is the substantial savings on my cable bill.

I couldn't stand putting money into the pockets of the SEC, PAC12, LHN and B1G since we were left out. If we get into a P5 conference then I'll subscribe again. Money = power, albeit how small of an amount it is. If all of CT did the same it would be quite a statement. I'm not foolish I know this is not possible but it is my way of rebelling.

Love it. Fits right in with my "if it's not UConn, it's crap" motto.
 
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I've already canceled all TV packages that contain LHN, PAC12, SEC or B1G networks. To do this it means I've had to cancel ESPN also. When I want sports on channels I don't get, I go to a bar. Can't say that I miss these channels. I think more of this will be happening. I did it for principle but a side benefit is the substantial savings on my cable bill.

I couldn't stand putting money into the pockets of the SEC, PAC12, LHN and B1G since we were left out. If we get into a P5 conference then I'll subscribe again. Money = power, albeit how small of an amount it is. If all of CT did the same it would be quite a statement. I'm not foolish I know this is not possible but it is my way of rebelling.
I respect your decision, but you're a better man than I am.
 
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I cut the cord two years ago. I don't miss those $200 plus cable bills anymore. All I need is Internet and my iPad.
 
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ESPN announced the idea with great fanfare in May but then put it on hold a few weeks ago. People close to ESPN say the cost associated with relocating to New York was a major factor.

The fewer tax subsidies, the harder it is for ESPN to move elsewhere. Now ESPN needs to come up with the funding to build out in other states by itself. And that hurts the bottom-line in a cost-cutting environment. Sure, when revenues are expanding, then it's much easier to leave.
 
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People (and by people I mean me at the very least) are sick and tired of paying for stuff they don't want. How long would you continue shopping at a supermarket that stuck a big bunch of kale in your bag every time you shopped there? Sometimes it seems that ESPN thinks their product is the blathering head and the game is the filler. News alert Bristol: You can only live in up-side-down world for so long before some little kid says "But Mommy, the king's naked."
 
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I have so many channels that I do not watch but must pay for....about ten different kids channels. the same amount of religious channels, cooking channels. spanish channels, and on...

But I do watch ESPN and its variants.
 
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I have so many channels that I do not watch but must pay for....about ten different kids channels. the same amount of religious channels, cooking channels. spanish channels, and on...

But I do watch ESPN and its variants.
Yes, I suspect that the subsidizing is pretty heavy going both ways. I don't think ESPN has all that much to be worried about as long as they can supply the content.
 
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